Countering the price limit of Western countries, Putin extended the oil supply ban. On the 13th, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a presidential decree, announcing the extension of the counter-measures to set price ceilings for Russian oil and oil products until June 30, 2025. Putin signed a presidential decree on December 27, 2022, demanding that the supply of Russian petroleum and petroleum products to foreign legal persons and individuals who directly or indirectly use the price ceiling mechanism in their contracts be prohibited. This presidential decree came into effect on February 1, 2023, and its validity period was extended several times. In early December, 2022, EU member states reached an agreement on setting a price ceiling of $60 per barrel for Russian seaborne oil exports. The Group of Seven and Australia announced that they would implement the same price limit policy as the EU. (Xinhua News Agency)Japanese people protested against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. On the evening of 13th, Japanese people held a rally outside the Japanese Foreign Ministry in Tokyo to protest against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. (Xinhua News Agency)Spot silver fell by 2.0% in the day to $30.33 per ounce. New york Silver fell 2.5% in the day to $30.83 per ounce.
Bank of America: Investors poured into China stocks in recent weeks, and Bank of America strategists said that investors put money into China stocks again in the past week. In the week ending Wednesday, China equity funds received about $5.6 billion, the largest inflow in nine weeks, strategists such as Michael Hartnett quoted EPFR Global data as saying. He also believes that the first quarter of next year will be the entry point for non-US stocks. As investors have deployed a large number of positions for the rise in the yield of US dollars and US bonds, there is a risk of overshooting early next year. He believes that bonds, gold and international stocks are attractive under the assumption that persistent inflation forces the Fed to become more hawkish.Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.Morgan Stanley kept Apple's target price at $273.00.
Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.The NASDAQ 100 index rose to about 1.2%, and Broadcom, a constituent stock, rose by more than 21%, Maiwell Technology rose by 9.8%, ARM rose by 4.5%, Micron Technology rose by 4.1%, Ram Research rose by 1.8%, ASML ADR rose by 1.5%, and Grail, a biotechnology company, rose by 1.8%.Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14